Australian Dollar to Euro (AUD/EUR) Exchange Rate Falls as RBA Rate Cuts Become Possibility after ECB’s QE

  • Posted on

Australian Dollar (AUD)

The Australian Dollar to Euro (AUD/EUR) exchange rate declined during Friday’s European session despite the European Central Bank (ECB) rocking markets on Thursday by announcing quantitative easing (QE).

The ‘Aussie’ also fell below 80 US cents against the US Dollar (AUD/USD) to its lowest level in five and a half years, after the ECB stimulus injection was revealed.

Economists and investors alike have forecast the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) may cut interest rates after the Bank of Canada (BOC) slashed its benchmark rate which has been dormant at 1.0% for the past four years.

Australian Dollar to Euro (AUD/EUR) Exchange Rate Softens – RBA Rate Cuts Ahead?

Westpac have been adamant that the RBA would need to cut rates in its February meeting to help the Australian economy grow, amid concerns of a recession. The RBA declined that any conversations had taken place to reduce borrowing costs. Therefore, the ECB’s decision was the straw that broke the camel’s back for the Australian Dollar exchange rate.

Westpac currency strategist Sean Callow stated: ‘In the absence of any (Reserve Bank of Australia) guidance, the markets are looking offshore for direction. What they are seeing is looser policy from Canada, Europe, the Bank of England switching from two (policy makers calling) for a hike to nobody (calling) for a hike, and super-low inflation in New Zealand causing the market to think about a rate cut less than a year after they completed 100 points of hikes.’

‘In that environment, people are asking: why should the RBA hold steady?’

However, not everyone believes that the ECB’s latest dabble in QE will be that fruitful for the economy. With asset backed purchases beginning in March and continuing until September 2016, the programme will total over €1 trillion.

Investor billionaire George Soros commented: ‘My main concern that it will make a divergence between rich and poor bigger than it already is. It will benefit the owners of assets and actually wages will remain under pressure through competition and unemployment.’

Australian Dollar to Euro (AUD/EUR) Exchange Rate Forecast

Next week could be influential for the Australian Dollar to Euro (AUD/EUR) exchange rate with the release of Australian Consumer Price Index on Wednesday. In the third quarter on the year, the ecostat resided at 2.3%.

Thursday and Friday will be of high influence for the Euro with the release of German and Eurozone Unemployment Rate, Unemployment Change and Consumer Price Indexes.

The Australian Dollar to Euro (AUD/EUR) exchange rate is trending in the region of 0.7054.

« Previous Story

Australian Dollar to Euro (AUD/EUR) Exchange Rate Forecast to Gain after SNB Bombshell

Next Story »

Australian Dollar to Euro (AUD/EUR) Exchange Rate Forecast to Tumble on SNB Intervention


Disclaimer: Currency-Converter.com.au and its data provider, TorFX, make no claims regarding the validity or exactness of the information provided in on this site and will not be held liable for any use, interpretation, or other implementation of the information provided. Currency-converter.com.au make no warranties, express or implied, as to results to be obtained from use of such information, and make no express or implied warranties of condition, quality, performance, merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. Currency-converter.com.au shall not have any liability for the accuracy of the information contained in the services provided or ommissions there in which are made available on a free, as-is basis. None of the aforementioned parties shall be liable for any third party claims or losses of any nature, including, but not limited to, lost profits, punitive, consequential, special, incidental, indirect or similar damages even if advised of the possibility of such damages. Rates offered are interbank rates and may not be the same as offered by your financial institution, and do not include commissions. Rates shown on this site will vary from those provided by TorFX or other providers linked to from this site.